Buffalo Bills · TE · 7 games through Nov 1, 2026 · Utah (2023 Round 1, Pick 25)

Dalton Kincaid

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74.5

Downfield Score v7.0Ranked #9 of 45 qualified TEs

Rec / Targets: 27/3518.1% target share
Receiving yards: 40114.8 YPR
Receiving TD: 257.3 yds/G
Snap share: 66%Offensive snaps
EPA per opportunity: +0.46535 opportunities · What is EPA?
Success rate: 57.1%Play-by-play positive EPA

Dalton Kincaid among the 45 qualified tight ends: each 2026 Downfield Score, 0 to 100.

Bowers96.5
Likely89.5
Kittle86.4
McBride86.4
Kelce84.9
Fannin Jr.82.3
LaPorta78.7
Hockenson76.8
Kincaid74.5
Warren72.5

35 more scored tight ends

Downfield Score v7.0 breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the 2026 positional mean before percentile ranking across 45 qualified TEs. Read score check & methodology · What Raw and Shrunk mean

Opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game15% weight · Raw +0.452 → Shrunk +1.166

73thpercentile

Early-down opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game5% weight · Raw +0.558 → Shrunk +0.931

90thpercentile

Receiving yards per game, regressed16% weight · Raw 11.46 → Shrunk 39.04

73thpercentile

Yards after catch per game, regressed10% weight · Raw 4.31 → Shrunk 17.91

67thpercentile

Downfield air yards per game, regressed3% weight · Raw 10.34 → Shrunk 36.05

73thpercentile

Offensive snaps per game, regressed3% weight · Raw 0.73 → Shrunk 42.10

59thpercentile

Target share34% weight · Raw 18.1% → Shrunk 17.1%

74thpercentile

First-down rate, regressed10% weight · Raw 42.9% → Shrunk 37.5%

75thpercentile

20+ yard target rate, regressed4% weight · Raw 22.9% → Shrunk 11.0%

99thpercentile

2026 game log

Every 2026 regular-season game line for Dalton Kincaid. Click any game to open its drive-by-drive chart and box score.

Week	Date	Matchup	Result	Rec	Targets	Rec yds	Rec TD
Week 1	Sep 13, 2026	@ HOU	W 36-31	5	6	130	0
Week 2	Sep 17, 2026	vs DET	W 41-31	7	8	95	1
Week 3	Sep 27, 2026	vs LAC	W 24-16	2	3	38	0
Week 4	Oct 4, 2026	vs NE	L 26-29	1	2	7	0
Week 5	Oct 12, 2026	@ LA	W 37-34	1	2	7	0
Week 6	Oct 18, 2026	@ LV	W 33-30	7	8	38	0
Week 8	Nov 1, 2026	vs BAL	W 36-10	4	6	86	1

College to the NFL: Utah to Buffalo Bills

Verified identity bridge linking Dalton Kincaid's college regular-season yards at Utah to official NFL game lines.

Utah (College yards)

142020

4652021

8902022

2525th pick
2023 Draft

BUF (NFL yards)

6732023

4482024

5712025

4012026 *

Open Dalton Kincaid's college development chapters in Downfield

Career NFL seasons

Regular-season totals from official NFL game lines across 4 seasons.

Season	Club	G	Rec/Tgt	Rec yds	Rec TD
2023	BUF	16	73/91	673	2
2024	BUF	13	44/75	448	2
2025	BUF	12	39/49	571	5
2026 (so far)	BUF	7	27/35	401	2

Compare Dalton Kincaid with top tight ends

Launch a head-to-head Tale of the Tape against another 2026 TE.

Dalton Kincaid vs. Brock Bowers (LV)Score 74.5 vs. 96.5 Dalton Kincaid vs. Isaiah Likely (NYG)Score 74.5 vs. 89.5 Dalton Kincaid vs. George Kittle (SF)Score 74.5 vs. 86.4 Dalton Kincaid vs. Trey McBride (ARI)Score 74.5 vs. 86.4 Dalton Kincaid vs. Travis Kelce (KC)Score 74.5 vs. 84.9 Dalton Kincaid vs. Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE)Score 74.5 vs. 82.3