Carolina Panthers · WR · 7 games through Nov 1, 2026 · Arizona (2025 Round 1, Pick 8)

Tetairoa McMillan

88.2
Downfield Score v7.0Ranked #6 of 99 qualified WRs
Rec / Targets
42/6526.4% target share
Receiving yards
56913.6 YPR
Receiving TD
281.3 yds/G
Snap share
83%Offensive snaps
EPA per opportunity
+0.36465 opportunities · What is EPA?
Success rate
60.0%Play-by-play positive EPA

Tetairoa McMillan among the 99 qualified receivers: each 2026 Downfield Score, 0 to 100.

  1. Smith-Njigba97.0
  2. Lamb93.7
  3. Olave90.5
  4. St. Brown90.3
  5. Higgins88.5
  6. McMillan88.2
  7. London87.9
  8. Nabers87.3
  9. Wilson85.2
  10. Nacua84.3
89 more scored receivers

Downfield Score v7.0 breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the 2026 positional mean before percentile ranking across 99 qualified WRs. Read score check & methodology · What Raw and Shrunk mean

Opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game20% weight · Raw +0.379 → Shrunk +2.190
94thpercentile
Early-down opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game5% weight · Raw +0.475 → Shrunk +1.984
96thpercentile
Receiving yards per game, regressed16% weight · Raw 8.77 → Shrunk 67.57
92thpercentile
Downfield air yards per game, regressed6% weight · Raw 10.75 → Shrunk 91.63
90thpercentile
Offensive snaps per team game, regressed10% weight · Raw 0.90 → Shrunk 45.25
84thpercentile
Target share30% weight · Raw 26.4% → Shrunk 23.9%
88thpercentile
First-down rate, regressed8% weight · Raw 41.5% → Shrunk 39.1%
76thpercentile
20+ yard target rate, regressed5% weight · Raw 13.8% → Shrunk 12.3%
73thpercentile

2026 game log

Every 2026 regular-season game line for Tetairoa McMillan. Click any game to open its drive-by-drive chart and box score.

WeekDateMatchupResultRecTargetsRec ydsRec TDRush yds
Week 1Sep 13, 2026vs CHIL 37-59587500
Week 2Sep 20, 2026@ ATLW 34-351010100
Week 3Sep 27, 2026@ CLEL 18-21251700
Week 4Oct 4, 2026vs DETW 32-26141619220
Week 6Oct 18, 2026@ PHIW 25-14698600
Week 7Oct 25, 2026vs TBL 13-43464000
Week 8Oct 29, 2026@ GBL 19-276115800

College to the NFL: Arizona to Carolina Panthers

Verified identity bridge linking Tetairoa McMillan's college regular-season yards at Arizona to official NFL game lines.

Arizona (College yards)

7022022
1,2422023
1,3192024
88th pick
2025 Draft

CAR (NFL yards)

1,0142025
5692026 *

Open Tetairoa McMillan's college development chapters in Downfield

Career NFL seasons

Regular-season totals from official NFL game lines across 2 seasons.

SeasonClubGCarriesRush ydsRush TDRec/TgtRec ydsRec TD
2025CAR1700070/1221,0147
2026 (so far)CAR700042/655692

Compare Tetairoa McMillan with top receivers

Launch a head-to-head Tale of the Tape against another 2026 WR.

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