New England Patriots · WR · 3 games through Nov 1, 2026 · Ole Miss (2019 Round 2, Pick 51)

A.J. Brown

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49.5

Downfield Score v7.0Ranked #48 of 99 qualified WRs

Rec / Targets: 9/2022.0% target share
Receiving yards: 10111.2 YPR
Receiving TD: 033.7 yds/G
Snap share: 70%Offensive snaps
EPA per opportunity: −0.23020 opportunities · What is EPA?
Success rate: 40.0%Play-by-play positive EPA

A.J. Brown among the 99 qualified receivers: each 2026 Downfield Score, 0 to 100.

Smith-Njigba97.0
Lamb93.7
Olave90.5
St. Brown90.3
Higgins88.5
McMillan88.2
London87.9
Nabers87.3
Wilson85.2
Brown#4849.5

89 more scored receivers

Downfield Score v7.0 breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the 2026 positional mean before percentile ranking across 99 qualified WRs. Read score check & methodology · What Raw and Shrunk mean

Opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game20% weight · Raw −0.225 → Shrunk +1.294

49thpercentile

Early-down opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game5% weight · Raw +0.102 → Shrunk +1.129

61thpercentile

Receiving yards per game, regressed16% weight · Raw 5.05 → Shrunk 47.71

62thpercentile

Downfield air yards per game, regressed6% weight · Raw 13.50 → Shrunk 71.64

68thpercentile

Offensive snaps per team game, regressed10% weight · Raw 0.72 → Shrunk 14.75

2thpercentile

Target share30% weight · Raw 22.0% → Shrunk 20.0%

66thpercentile

First-down rate, regressed8% weight · Raw 30.0% → Shrunk 37.1%

29thpercentile

20+ yard target rate, regressed5% weight · Raw 0.0% → Shrunk 9.7%

11thpercentile

2026 game log

Every 2026 regular-season game line for A.J. Brown. Click any game to open its drive-by-drive chart and box score.

Week	Date	Matchup	Result	Rec	Targets	Rec yds
Week 1	Sep 9, 2026	@ SEA	L 10-13	3	4	26
Week 6	Oct 18, 2026	vs NYJ	W 26-19	3	10	27
Week 7	Oct 22, 2026	@ CHI	L 24-30	3	6	48

College to the NFL: Ole Miss to New England Patriots

Verified identity bridge linking A.J. Brown's college regular-season yards at Ole Miss to official NFL game lines.

Ole Miss (College yards)

4122016

1,2522017

1,3552018

5151st pick
2019 Draft

NE (NFL yards)

1,0512019

1,0752020

8692021

1,4962022

1,4562023

1,0792024

1,0032025

1012026 *

Open A.J. Brown's college development chapters in Downfield

Career NFL seasons

Regular-season totals from official NFL game lines across 8 seasons.

Season	Club	G	Carries	Rush yds	Rush TD	Rec/Tgt	Rec yds	Rec TD
2019	TEN	16	3	60	1	52/84	1,051	8
2020	TEN	14	0	0	0	70/106	1,075	11
2021	TEN	13	2	10	0	63/105	869	5
2022	PHI	17	0	0	0	88/145	1,496	11
2023	PHI	17	0	0	0	106/158	1,456	7
2024	PHI	13	0	0	0	67/97	1,079	7
2025	PHI	15	0	0	0	78/121	1,003	7
2026 (so far)	NE	3	0	0	0	9/20	101	0

Compare A.J. Brown with top receivers

Launch a head-to-head Tale of the Tape against another 2026 WR.

A.J. Brown vs. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA)Score 49.5 vs. 97.0 A.J. Brown vs. CeeDee Lamb (DAL)Score 49.5 vs. 93.7 A.J. Brown vs. Chris Olave (NO)Score 49.5 vs. 90.5 A.J. Brown vs. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)Score 49.5 vs. 90.3 A.J. Brown vs. Tee Higgins (CIN)Score 49.5 vs. 88.5 A.J. Brown vs. Tetairoa McMillan (CAR)Score 49.5 vs. 88.2