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New Orleans Saints · WR · 7 games through Nov 1, 2026 · North Dakota State (2026 Round 4, Pick 136)

Bryce Lance

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13.3
Downfield Score v7.0Ranked #93 of 99 qualified WRs
Rec / Targets
9/228.4% target share
Receiving yards
788.7 YPR
Receiving TD
111.1 yds/G
Snap share
68%Offensive snaps
EPA per opportunity
−0.55422 opportunities · What is EPA?
Success rate
36.4%Play-by-play positive EPA

Bryce Lance among the 99 qualified receivers: each 2026 Downfield Score, 0 to 100.

  1. Smith-Njigba97.0
  2. Lamb93.7
  3. Olave90.5
  4. St. Brown90.3
  5. Higgins88.5
  6. McMillan88.2
  7. London87.9
  8. Nabers87.3
  9. Wilson85.2
  10. Lance#9413.3
89 more scored receivers

Downfield Score v7.0 breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the 2026 positional mean before percentile ranking across 99 qualified WRs. Read score check & methodology · What Raw and Shrunk mean

Opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game20% weight · Raw −0.553 → Shrunk +0.715
4thpercentile
Early-down opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game5% weight · Raw −0.333 → Shrunk +0.579
4thpercentile
Receiving yards per game, regressed16% weight · Raw 3.54 → Shrunk 29.44
9thpercentile
Downfield air yards per game, regressed6% weight · Raw 12.50 → Shrunk 44.87
16thpercentile
Offensive snaps per team game, regressed10% weight · Raw 0.73 → Shrunk 38.69
67thpercentile
Target share30% weight · Raw 8.4% → Shrunk 11.2%
7thpercentile
First-down rate, regressed8% weight · Raw 22.7% → Shrunk 36.1%
9thpercentile
20+ yard target rate, regressed5% weight · Raw 0.0% → Shrunk 9.6%
10thpercentile

2026 game log

Every 2026 regular-season game line for Bryce Lance. Click any game to open its drive-by-drive chart and box score.

WeekDateMatchupResultRecTargetsRec ydsRec TDRush yds
Week 1Sep 13, 2026@ DETL 30-31344200
Week 2Sep 20, 2026@ BALW 24-1711800
Week 3Sep 27, 2026vs LVL 27-3503000
Week 4Oct 5, 2026vs ATLL 24-4515700
Week 5Oct 11, 2026vs MINL 13-2303000
Week 6Oct 18, 2026@ NYGW 34-2724910
Week 7Oct 25, 2026vs PITL 10-16221200

College to the NFL: North Dakota State to New Orleans Saints

Verified identity bridge linking Bryce Lance's college regular-season yards at North Dakota State to official NFL game lines.

North Dakota State (College yards)

72023
8212024
1,0792025
136136th pick
2026 Draft

NO (NFL yards)

782026 *

Open Bryce Lance's college development chapters in Downfield

Career NFL seasons

Regular-season totals from official NFL game lines across 1 season.

SeasonClubGCarriesRush ydsRush TDRec/TgtRec ydsRec TD
2026 (so far)NO70009/22781

Compare Bryce Lance with top receivers

Launch a head-to-head Tale of the Tape against another 2026 WR.

Bryce Lance vs. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA)Score 13.3 vs. 97.0Bryce Lance vs. CeeDee Lamb (DAL)Score 13.3 vs. 93.7Bryce Lance vs. Chris Olave (NO)Score 13.3 vs. 90.5Bryce Lance vs. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)Score 13.3 vs. 90.3Bryce Lance vs. Tee Higgins (CIN)Score 13.3 vs. 88.5Bryce Lance vs. Tetairoa McMillan (CAR)Score 13.3 vs. 88.2
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