Houston Texans · WR · 7 games through Nov 1, 2026 · Iowa State (2025 Round 3, Pick 79)

Jaylin Noel

30.6
Downfield Score v7.0Ranked #73 of 99 qualified WRs
Rec / Targets
19/2310.0% target share
Receiving yards
33117.4 YPR
Receiving TD
247.3 yds/G
Snap share
43%Offensive snaps
EPA per opportunity
+0.80423 opportunities · What is EPA?
Success rate
60.9%Play-by-play positive EPA

Jaylin Noel among the 99 qualified receivers: each 2026 Downfield Score, 0 to 100.

  1. Smith-Njigba97.0
  2. Lamb93.7
  3. Olave90.5
  4. St. Brown90.3
  5. Higgins88.5
  6. McMillan88.2
  7. London87.9
  8. Nabers87.3
  9. Wilson85.2
  10. Noel#7430.6
89 more scored receivers

Downfield Score v7.0 breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the 2026 positional mean before percentile ranking across 99 qualified WRs. Read score check & methodology · What Raw and Shrunk mean

Opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game20% weight · Raw +0.779 → Shrunk +1.126
32thpercentile
Early-down opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game5% weight · Raw +0.681 → Shrunk +0.898
35thpercentile
Receiving yards per game, regressed16% weight · Raw 14.39 → Shrunk 35.02
25thpercentile
Downfield air yards per game, regressed6% weight · Raw 10.26 → Shrunk 44.79
16thpercentile
Offensive snaps per team game, regressed10% weight · Raw 0.47 → Shrunk 27.30
21thpercentile
Target share30% weight · Raw 10.0% → Shrunk 12.4%
13thpercentile
First-down rate, regressed8% weight · Raw 52.2% → Shrunk 39.9%
86thpercentile
20+ yard target rate, regressed5% weight · Raw 26.1% → Shrunk 13.9%
94thpercentile

2026 game log

Every 2026 regular-season game line for Jaylin Noel. Click any game to open its drive-by-drive chart and box score.

WeekDateMatchupResultRecTargetsRec ydsRec TDRush yds
Week 1Sep 13, 2026vs BUFL 31-36225300
Week 2Sep 20, 2026vs CINL 6-201531013
Week 3Sep 27, 2026@ INDL 17-19221708
Week 4Oct 4, 2026vs DALL 30-34338504
Week 5Oct 11, 2026@ TENW 26-3554111
Week 6Oct 18, 2026@ JAXW 34-314410710
Week 7Oct 25, 2026vs NYGL 21-2722-300

College to the NFL: Iowa State to Houston Texans

Verified identity bridge linking Jaylin Noel's college regular-season yards at Iowa State to official NFL game lines.

Iowa State (College yards)

2112021
6092022
7412023
1,0772024
7979th pick
2025 Draft

HOU (NFL yards)

2922025
3312026 *

Open Jaylin Noel's college development chapters in Downfield

Career NFL seasons

Regular-season totals from official NFL game lines across 2 seasons.

SeasonClubGCarriesRush ydsRush TDRec/TgtRec ydsRec TD
2025HOU17612026/352922
2026 (so far)HOU7426019/233312

Compare Jaylin Noel with top receivers

Launch a head-to-head Tale of the Tape against another 2026 WR.

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