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Indianapolis Colts · WR · 8 games through Nov 1, 2026 · North Carolina (2023 Round 3, Pick 79)

Josh Downs

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63.3
Downfield Score v7.0Ranked #33 of 99 qualified WRs
Rec / Targets
30/5120.0% target share
Receiving yards
33011.0 YPR
Receiving TD
141.3 yds/G
Snap share
81%Offensive snaps
EPA per opportunity
+0.28851 opportunities · What is EPA?
Success rate
49.0%Play-by-play positive EPA

Josh Downs among the 99 qualified receivers: each 2026 Downfield Score, 0 to 100.

  1. Smith-Njigba97.0
  2. Lamb93.7
  3. Olave90.5
  4. St. Brown90.3
  5. Higgins88.5
  6. McMillan88.2
  7. London87.9
  8. Nabers87.3
  9. Wilson85.2
  10. Downs#3363.3
89 more scored receivers

Downfield Score v7.0 breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the 2026 positional mean before percentile ranking across 99 qualified WRs. Read score check & methodology · What Raw and Shrunk mean

Opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game20% weight · Raw +0.284 → Shrunk +1.532
66thpercentile
Early-down opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game5% weight · Raw −0.022 → Shrunk +1.002
49thpercentile
Receiving yards per game, regressed16% weight · Raw 6.47 → Shrunk 47.60
61thpercentile
Downfield air yards per game, regressed6% weight · Raw 10.49 → Shrunk 68.82
62thpercentile
Offensive snaps per team game, regressed10% weight · Raw 0.84 → Shrunk 48.54
94thpercentile
Target share30% weight · Raw 20.0% → Shrunk 19.4%
63thpercentile
First-down rate, regressed8% weight · Raw 37.3% → Shrunk 37.8%
47thpercentile
20+ yard target rate, regressed5% weight · Raw 9.8% → Shrunk 10.9%
40thpercentile

2026 game log

Every 2026 regular-season game line for Josh Downs. Click any game to open its drive-by-drive chart and box score.

WeekDateMatchupResultRecTargetsRec ydsRec TDRush yds
Week 1Sep 13, 2026vs BALL 23-41243700
Week 2Sep 20, 2026@ KCL 30-33797200
Week 3Sep 27, 2026vs HOUW 19-175117700
Week 4Oct 4, 2026@ WASW 30-13341600
Week 5Oct 11, 2026@ PITL 22-34364700
Week 6Oct 18, 2026vs TENL 20-26484007
Week 7Oct 25, 2026@ MINL 10-16241800
Week 8Nov 1, 2026@ JAXL 7-42452310

College to the NFL: North Carolina to Indianapolis Colts

Verified identity bridge linking Josh Downs's college regular-season yards at North Carolina to official NFL game lines.

North Carolina (College yards)

282020
1,2732021
1,0292022
7979th pick
2023 Draft

IND (NFL yards)

7712023
8032024
5662025
3302026 *

Open Josh Downs's college development chapters in Downfield

Career NFL seasons

Regular-season totals from official NFL game lines across 4 seasons.

SeasonClubGCarriesRush ydsRush TDRec/TgtRec ydsRec TD
2023IND1700068/987712
2024IND14112072/1078035
2025IND162-2058/885664
2026 (so far)IND817030/513301

Compare Josh Downs with top receivers

Launch a head-to-head Tale of the Tape against another 2026 WR.

Josh Downs vs. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA)Score 63.3 vs. 97.0Josh Downs vs. CeeDee Lamb (DAL)Score 63.3 vs. 93.7Josh Downs vs. Chris Olave (NO)Score 63.3 vs. 90.5Josh Downs vs. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)Score 63.3 vs. 90.3Josh Downs vs. Tee Higgins (CIN)Score 63.3 vs. 88.5Josh Downs vs. Tetairoa McMillan (CAR)Score 63.3 vs. 88.2
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