Houston Texans · WR · 5 games through Nov 1, 2026 · Michigan (2021 Round 3, Pick 89)

Nico Collins

69.8
Downfield Score v7.0Ranked #23 of 99 qualified WRs
Rec / Targets
24/3522.4% target share
Receiving yards
32913.7 YPR
Receiving TD
365.8 yds/G
Snap share
70%Offensive snaps
EPA per opportunity
+0.57435 opportunities · What is EPA?
Success rate
57.1%Play-by-play positive EPA

Nico Collins among the 99 qualified receivers: each 2026 Downfield Score, 0 to 100.

  1. Smith-Njigba97.0
  2. Lamb93.7
  3. Olave90.5
  4. St. Brown90.3
  5. Higgins88.5
  6. McMillan88.2
  7. London87.9
  8. Nabers87.3
  9. Wilson85.2
  10. Collins#2369.8
89 more scored receivers

Downfield Score v7.0 breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the 2026 positional mean before percentile ranking across 99 qualified WRs. Read score check & methodology · What Raw and Shrunk mean

Opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game20% weight · Raw +0.537 → Shrunk +1.780
80thpercentile
Early-down opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game5% weight · Raw +0.425 → Shrunk +1.456
82thpercentile
Receiving yards per game, regressed16% weight · Raw 9.40 → Shrunk 53.71
75thpercentile
Downfield air yards per game, regressed6% weight · Raw 12.77 → Shrunk 75.67
74thpercentile
Offensive snaps per team game, regressed10% weight · Raw 0.77 → Shrunk 25.53
16thpercentile
Target share30% weight · Raw 22.4% → Shrunk 20.8%
73thpercentile
First-down rate, regressed8% weight · Raw 42.9% → Shrunk 39.0%
70thpercentile
20+ yard target rate, regressed5% weight · Raw 17.1% → Shrunk 12.7%
82thpercentile

2026 game log

Every 2026 regular-season game line for Nico Collins. Click any game to open its drive-by-drive chart and box score.

WeekDateMatchupResultRecTargetsRec ydsRec TDRush yds
Week 1Sep 13, 2026vs BUFL 31-367107517
Week 4Oct 4, 2026vs DALL 30-347811820
Week 5Oct 11, 2026@ TENW 26-3575600
Week 6Oct 18, 2026@ JAXW 34-31357405
Week 7Oct 25, 2026vs NYGL 21-2725600

College to the NFL: Michigan to Houston Texans

Verified identity bridge linking Nico Collins's college regular-season yards at Michigan to official NFL game lines.

Michigan (College yards)

122017
5522018
6812019
8989th pick
2021 Draft

HOU (NFL yards)

4462021
4812022
1,2972023
1,0062024
1,1172025
3292026 *

Open Nico Collins's college development chapters in Downfield

Career NFL seasons

Regular-season totals from official NFL game lines across 6 seasons.

SeasonClubGCarriesRush ydsRush TDRec/TgtRec ydsRec TD
2021HOU1400033/604461
2022HOU1000037/664812
2023HOU1517080/1091,2978
2024HOU1200068/991,0067
2025HOU15215171/1201,1176
2026 (so far)HOU5212024/353293

Compare Nico Collins with top receivers

Launch a head-to-head Tale of the Tape against another 2026 WR.

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