Tampa Bay Buccaneers · WR · 8 games through Nov 1, 2026 · Georgia State (2026 Round 3, Pick 84)

Ted Hurst III

24.5
Downfield Score v7.0Ranked #80 of 99 qualified WRs
Rec / Targets
11/2413.6% target share
Receiving yards
16815.3 YPR
Receiving TD
121.0 yds/G
Snap share
57%Offensive snaps
EPA per opportunity
−0.01524 opportunities · What is EPA?
Success rate
45.8%Play-by-play positive EPA

Ted Hurst III among the 99 qualified receivers: each 2026 Downfield Score, 0 to 100.

  1. Smith-Njigba97.0
  2. Lamb93.7
  3. Olave90.5
  4. St. Brown90.3
  5. Higgins88.5
  6. McMillan88.2
  7. London87.9
  8. Nabers87.3
  9. Wilson85.2
  10. Hurst III#8024.5
89 more scored receivers

Downfield Score v7.0 breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the 2026 positional mean before percentile ranking across 99 qualified WRs. Read score check & methodology · What Raw and Shrunk mean

Opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game20% weight · Raw +0.012 → Shrunk +0.831
11thpercentile
Early-down opponent-adjusted receiving EPA per game5% weight · Raw −0.138 → Shrunk +0.606
6thpercentile
Receiving yards per game, regressed16% weight · Raw 7.00 → Shrunk 29.50
10thpercentile
Downfield air yards per game, regressed6% weight · Raw 16.08 → Shrunk 44.88
17thpercentile
Offensive snaps per team game, regressed10% weight · Raw 0.70 → Shrunk 35.13
48thpercentile
Target share30% weight · Raw 13.6% → Shrunk 14.8%
28thpercentile
First-down rate, regressed8% weight · Raw 33.3% → Shrunk 37.4%
33thpercentile
20+ yard target rate, regressed5% weight · Raw 16.7% → Shrunk 12.3%
75thpercentile

2026 game log

Every 2026 regular-season game line for Ted Hurst III. Click any game to open its drive-by-drive chart and box score.

WeekDateMatchupResultRecTargetsRec ydsRec TDRush yds
Week 1Sep 13, 2026@ CINL 27-33333600
Week 2Sep 20, 2026vs CLEL 19-23272700
Week 3Sep 27, 2026vs MINL 16-23134010
Week 4Oct 4, 2026vs GBL 14-17232500
Week 5Oct 8, 2026@ DALW 24-1600000
Week 6Oct 18, 2026vs PITL 19-26364000
Week 7Oct 25, 2026@ CARW 43-1301000
Week 8Nov 1, 2026vs ATLW 16-001000

College to the NFL: Georgia State to Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Verified identity bridge linking Ted Hurst III's college regular-season yards at Georgia State to official NFL game lines.

Georgia State (College yards)

9612024
1,0042025
8484th pick
2026 Draft

TB (NFL yards)

1682026 *

Open Ted Hurst III's college development chapters in Downfield

Career NFL seasons

Regular-season totals from official NFL game lines across 1 season.

SeasonClubGCarriesRush ydsRush TDRec/TgtRec ydsRec TD
2026 (so far)TB800011/241681

Compare Ted Hurst III with top receivers

Launch a head-to-head Tale of the Tape against another 2026 WR.

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